SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 14 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Malmo | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 13 | 15 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 14 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Sirius | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Elfsborg | 14 | 8 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Sirius win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Sirius |
72.95% ( 0.02) | 16.63% ( -0.02) | 10.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( 0.05) | 38.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.8% ( 0.05) | 61.19% ( -0.06) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.73% ( 0.02) | 9.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.68% ( 0.04) | 31.31% ( -0.05) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.12% ( 0.02) | 45.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.37% ( 0.01) | 81.62% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.54% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 72.93% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.85% Total : 16.63% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.42% |
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