Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Sirius win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
