SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Elfsborg | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sirius | 16 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping | 17 | -3 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | AIK Fotboll | 15 | 7 | 31 |
| 3 | Malmo | 16 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | Hacken | 15 | 10 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Sirius win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Malmo |
21.37% ( 0.06) | 21.76% ( 0.02) | 56.87% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( 0.01) | 40.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( 0.01) | 62.84% ( -0.01) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( 0.07) | 32.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.92% ( 0.07) | 69.08% ( -0.07) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( -0.02) | 14.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.35% ( -0.04) | 41.64% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.37% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 56.87% |
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