SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Sundsvall had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Sundsvall win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Varnamo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sundsvall | Draw | Varnamo |
30.08% ( 0.2) | 24.14% ( 0.15) | 45.79% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% ( -0.56) | 43.58% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( -0.56) | 65.97% ( 0.56) |
| Sundsvall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.15) | 27.41% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( -0.2) | 62.89% ( 0.2) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.36) | 19.2% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( -0.61) | 50.89% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sundsvall | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 45.79% |
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