SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Kalmar |
32.71% ( -0.08) | 25.82% ( -0.01) | 41.46% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% ( 0.03) | 49.97% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( 0.02) | 71.95% ( -0.02) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.04) | 28.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( -0.05) | 64.71% ( 0.05) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( 0.05) | 23.88% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( 0.08) | 58.07% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.46% |
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