SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Varnamo |
64.5% ( -0.07) | 19.42% ( 0.02) | 16.08% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.17% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( -0) | 38.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% ( -0.01) | 60.39% ( 0.01) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.85% ( -0.02) | 11.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.39% ( -0.04) | 35.61% ( 0.05) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( 0.06) | 36.79% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.42% ( 0.06) | 73.57% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 4.35% Total : 64.5% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.42% | 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.08% |
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