SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Sirius | 22 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 22 | -11 | 25 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping | 22 | -3 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping | 22 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 22 | -15 | 24 |
| 14 | Helsingborg | 21 | -14 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varnamo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
49.27% ( -0.87) | 25.76% ( 0.39) | 24.97% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.29% ( -1.14) | 53.71% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.8% ( -0.97) | 75.2% ( 0.98) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.84) | 21.82% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( -1.3) | 55.04% ( 1.3) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.2) | 36.64% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( -0.21) | 73.43% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.26% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.97% |
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