Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.