SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
50.99% ( 0.31) | 24% ( -0.01) | 25.02% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( -0.19) | 46.48% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( -0.18) | 68.76% ( 0.18) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( 0.05) | 18.25% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.7% ( 0.08) | 49.3% ( -0.08) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( -0.34) | 32.68% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% ( -0.38) | 69.23% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.02% |
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