Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 21

Sep 5, 2022 at 6pm UK

Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
1 - 0
Varbergs

Nanasi (12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Birkfeldt (45+3'), Junior (89')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
58.02% ( 0.11)	23.85% ( -0.07)	18.13% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 46.12% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.41% (

0.2)

53.58% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.91% (

0.16)

75.09% (

-0.17)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

0.11)

18.26% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

0.19)

49.32% (

-0.19)

Varbergs BoIS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.43% (

0.06)

43.56% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.23% (

0.05)

79.76% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 58.01%

Varbergs BoIS 18.13%

Draw 23.85%

Kalmar	Draw	Varbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.01%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.13%