SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | IFK Goteborg | 20 | 9 | 33 |
| 7 | Kalmar | 20 | 6 | 33 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 20 | 3 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping | 20 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | Varbergs BoIS | 20 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Varnamo | 20 | -13 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
58.02% ( 0.11) | 23.85% ( -0.07) | 18.13% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% ( 0.2) | 53.58% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( 0.16) | 75.09% ( -0.17) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 0.11) | 18.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( 0.19) | 49.32% ( -0.19) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.43% ( 0.06) | 43.56% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.23% ( 0.05) | 79.76% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.01% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.13% |
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