Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Colon had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.86%) and 3-0 (11.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentinos Juniors.
Result | ||
Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Colon |
75.56% ( 0.65) | 16.97% ( -0.2) | 7.47% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 35.65% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( -0.7) | 49.94% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% ( -0.63) | 71.93% ( 0.63) |
Argentinos Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% ( -0.02) | 11.52% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.57% ( -0.04) | 36.42% ( 0.04) |
Colon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.29% ( -1.6) | 59.71% ( 1.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.5% ( -0.85) | 90.5% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Colon |
2-0 @ 16.06% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 14.86% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 75.55% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.97% | 0-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.03% Total : 7.47% |
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