SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 5.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.62%) and 3-0 (13.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Colon |
81.27% ( -0.2) | 13.63% ( 0.12) | 5.1% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 33.04% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( -0.24) | 45.02% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( -0.23) | 67.38% ( 0.23) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.21% ( -0.1) | 8.79% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.84% ( -0.25) | 30.16% ( 0.25) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.23% ( 0.1) | 63.78% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.54% ( 0.04) | 92.46% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Colon |
| 2-0 @ 16.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 81.25% | 1-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.63% | 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.2% Total : 5.1% |
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