SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Colon had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
33.99% ( -0.31) | 29.1% ( 0.05) | 36.91% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.8% ( -0.17) | 62.2% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.12% ( -0.13) | 81.88% ( 0.13) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -0.3) | 34.22% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( -0.33) | 70.92% ( 0.33) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( 0.08) | 32.29% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( 0.09) | 68.8% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.09% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.91% |
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