SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
63.59% ( -0.4) | 22.88% ( 0.2) | 13.53% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 39.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.82% ( -0.31) | 57.18% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.96% ( -0.25) | 78.04% ( 0.24) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( -0.25) | 17.57% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.87% ( -0.44) | 48.12% ( 0.44) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.95% ( 0.14) | 52.05% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.96% ( 0.09) | 86.03% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 15.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 63.58% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.87% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.21% Total : 13.53% |
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