SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
32.57% ( -0.16) | 30.2% ( -0) | 37.23% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.43% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.14% ( 0) | 65.86% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.51% ( 0) | 84.49% ( -0) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( -0.12) | 37.22% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.99% ( -0.12) | 74.01% ( 0.12) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0.11) | 34.01% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( 0.12) | 70.69% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 32.57% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.65% 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.19% | 0-1 @ 13.65% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.23% |
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