SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Gimnasia |
47.62% ( 0.13) | 27.38% ( -0.01) | 25% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( -0.05) | 59.52% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( -0.04) | 79.87% ( 0.05) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.04) | 25.08% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( 0.05) | 59.78% ( -0.05) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.16% ( -0.14) | 39.84% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.49% ( -0.13) | 76.51% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 25% |
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