SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Colon had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Colon |
53.88% ( -0.06) | 27.17% ( 0.07) | 18.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.06% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.31% ( -0.19) | 63.69% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.03% ( -0.14) | 82.96% ( 0.14) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.11) | 24.05% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% ( -0.16) | 58.32% ( 0.16) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.42% ( -0.13) | 48.57% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.35% ( -0.09) | 83.65% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 16.64% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 53.87% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.95% |
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