SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Banfield |
52.85% ( 0.29) | 26.7% ( -0.11) | 20.45% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.08% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.15% ( 0.2) | 60.85% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.12% ( 0.15) | 80.88% ( -0.15) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.21) | 23.26% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( 0.31) | 57.19% ( -0.31) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( -0.08) | 45.16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.93% ( -0.06) | 81.06% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.45% |
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