SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
32.48% ( -0.12) | 28.53% ( -0.04) | 38.98% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 45.84% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.51% ( 0.13) | 60.48% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.39% ( 0.1) | 80.6% ( -0.1) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.02) | 34.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.92% ( -0.02) | 71.07% ( 0.01) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( 0.16) | 30.15% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% ( 0.19) | 66.3% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.98% |
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