SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Lanus |
46.41% ( 0) | 28.21% ( 0.06) | 25.38% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.23% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.97% ( -0.22) | 62.03% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% ( -0.16) | 81.76% ( 0.16) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( -0.1) | 26.83% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.87% ( -0.13) | 62.13% ( 0.13) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% ( -0.18) | 40.92% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.51% ( -0.16) | 77.49% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 25.38% |
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