Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17

Sep 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
3 - 1
Independiente

Dominguez (34'), Morales (52'), Contin (56')
Aleman (21'), Piris (44'), Contin (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fernandez (12')
Elizalde (50'), Fernandez (71'), Barreto (90+4')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Independiente
37.64% ( 0.09)	27.3% ( -0.42)	35.06% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 49.89% (

1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38% (

1.65)

55.62% (

-1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

1.33)

76.78% (

-1.33)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43% (

0.86)

28.57% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64% (

1.06)

64.36% (

-1.05)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85% (

1.04)

30.15% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7% (

1.23)

66.3% (

-1.23)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 37.64%

Independiente 35.05%

Draw 27.29%

Gimnasia	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.64%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.05%