SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 38.88%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
38.88% ( -0.35) | 30.77% ( -0.52) | 30.35% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 39.55% ( 1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.15% ( 1.59) | 67.85% ( -1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.16% ( 1.04) | 85.83% ( -1.04) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( 0.64) | 34.03% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.29% ( 0.69) | 70.71% ( -0.69) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( 1.63) | 40.04% ( -1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.31% ( 1.46) | 76.69% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.87% | 0-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.83) 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.76% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.39% Total : 30.35% |
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