SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
51.6% ( 0.06) | 26.42% ( 0.2) | 21.98% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.47% ( -0.94) | 58.53% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.9% ( -0.73) | 79.11% ( 0.74) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( -0.37) | 22.82% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.46% ( -0.55) | 56.54% ( 0.55) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.81% ( -0.8) | 42.19% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.4% ( -0.7) | 78.6% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.22% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.98% |
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