Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 28.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
