SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.19%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Banfield |
45.36% ( 0.01) | 30.41% ( 0) | 24.22% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 37.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.01) | 68.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.44% ( -0.01) | 86.56% ( 0.01) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% | 30.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% ( 0) | 67.07% ( -0) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.03) | 46.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.22% ( -0.02) | 81.78% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 16.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 45.36% | 0-0 @ 14.19% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.95% 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 30.41% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.22% |
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