SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 14.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.21%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Barracas Central |
60.7% ( 0.33) | 24.97% ( -0.1) | 14.32% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 36.38% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.4% ( -0.03) | 62.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.83% ( -0.03) | 82.17% ( 0.03) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 0.12) | 20.72% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% ( 0.18) | 53.34% ( -0.18) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.37) | 54.11% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.66% ( -0.23) | 87.34% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 17.64% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 60.69% | 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 14.32% |
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