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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Aug 24, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Monumental Jose Fierro

Tucuman
4 - 0
Barracas Central

Menendez (22'), Ruiz (49'), Pereyra (59'), Coronel (90+3')
Risso (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mouche (55'), Ferreyra (89')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Barracas Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tucuman
Wednesday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 3-1 Defensa
Thursday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawBarracas Central
62.6% (0.545 0.55) 23.49% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 13.9% (-0.471 -0.47)
Both teams to score 38.86% (-0.831 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (-0.506 -0.51)58.62% (0.501 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.82% (-0.397 -0.4)79.17% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)18.46% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (0.016999999999996 0.02)49.64% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.66% (-1.024 -1.02)52.34% (1.021 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.77% (-0.674 -0.67)86.22% (0.67099999999999 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 62.6%
    Barracas Central 13.9%
    Draw 23.49%
Atletico TucumanDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 16.32% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 13.79% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.77% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 62.6%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 2.89% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 13.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tucuman
Wednesday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 C. Cordoba
Friday, August 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Tucuman
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-1 Tucuman
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Tuesday, July 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 3-1 Defensa
Thursday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-1 Barracas Central
Saturday, August 13 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-0 Racing
Saturday, August 6 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Patronato
Wednesday, July 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-1 Barracas Central
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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