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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
AT

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Tucuman

Aquino (62')
Bouzat (23'), Gomez (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coronel (31')
Sanchez (40'), Garcia (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Platense
Tuesday, May 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Atletico Tucuman

While a goalless encounter between these clubs will not surprise, with Velez securing two of their recent 1-0 victories courtesy of strikes after the 80th minute, El Fortin are backed to nick a hard-fought slender win over their low-scoring visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
48.99% (-0.102 -0.1) 28.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 22.84% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 41.16% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.5% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)63.5% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)82.82% (0.062999999999988 0.06)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)26.24% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.122 -0.12)61.34% (0.12 0.12)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.004999999999999 0)80.29% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 48.98%
    Atletico Tucuman 22.84%
    Draw 28.16%
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, May 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Velez Sarsfield (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Platense
Tuesday, May 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 2-0 Tucuman
Sunday, May 19 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 13 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 4-0 Tucuman
Saturday, April 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 3-2 Gimnasia
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Tucuman
Sunday, March 31 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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