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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 13, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 1
Barracas Central

Dominguez (29' pen.), Castillo (85')
Castillo (55'), Dominguez (88'), Cabral (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Iacobellis (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Instituto 2-1 Gimnasia
Monday, June 3 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 Huracan
Tuesday, June 4 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gimnasia 2-1 Barracas Central

Gimnasia will be looking to preserve their 100% home record at the beginning of this season, and considering their promising start to the term, this should be possible against a stuttering Barracas side. Los Camioneros have only scored once away from home this campaign and have not found the net in their last two matches, and we are predicting another tough evening for the visitors in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gimnasia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gimnasia.

Result
GimnasiaDrawBarracas Central
59.29% (0.175 0.18) 23.82% (-0.151 -0.15) 16.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (0.503 0.5)55.2% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (0.411 0.41)76.43% (-0.413 -0.41)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (0.251 0.25)18.4% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (0.427 0.43)49.54% (-0.429 -0.43)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.93% (0.265 0.27)46.06% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (0.205 0.2)81.77% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 59.28%
    Barracas Central 16.89%
    Draw 23.82%
GimnasiaDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 14.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 12.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 59.28%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.31% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Instituto 2-1 Gimnasia
Monday, June 3 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-0 Banfield
Sunday, May 26 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, May 19 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-2 Banfield
Sunday, April 14 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 3-2 Gimnasia
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 Huracan
Tuesday, June 4 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 2-0 Barracas Central
Monday, May 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, May 19 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-1 Barracas Central
Saturday, May 11 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-3 Barracas Central
Tuesday, April 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division


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