SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gimnasia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gimnasia.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Barracas Central |
59.29% ( 0.18) | 23.82% ( -0.15) | 16.89% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.01% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% ( 0.5) | 55.2% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.56% ( 0.41) | 76.43% ( -0.41) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( 0.25) | 18.4% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.46% ( 0.43) | 49.54% ( -0.43) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.93% ( 0.27) | 46.06% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.23% ( 0.2) | 81.77% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.34% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 59.28% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.89% |
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