Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
