Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
