SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.15%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (13.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
35.9% ( 0.16) | 31.1% ( 0.16) | 32.99% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 39.26% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.55% ( -0.47) | 68.44% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.77% ( -0.31) | 86.23% ( 0.31) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0.15) | 36.3% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% ( -0.15) | 73.09% ( 0.16) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( -0.51) | 38.37% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% ( -0.49) | 75.12% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 35.9% | 0-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.1% | 0-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 32.99% |
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