SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 38.35%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 29.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.97%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Belgrano |
38.35% ( -0.15) | 31.7% ( 0.05) | 29.95% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 37.34% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.59% ( -0.13) | 70.41% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.51% ( -0.08) | 87.49% ( 0.08) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( -0.17) | 35.78% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( -0.17) | 72.55% ( 0.17) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.13% ( -0) | 41.86% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.68% ( -0) | 78.32% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 15.39% 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.34% | 0-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 13.4% 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.69% | 0-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.95% |
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