SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Platense had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Platense |
50.29% ( -0.22) | 28.96% ( -0.01) | 20.75% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 37.33% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.81% ( 0.22) | 67.19% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.61% ( 0.15) | 85.39% ( -0.14) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% ( -0) | 62.81% ( 0.01) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% ( 0.41) | 48.62% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% ( 0.29) | 83.68% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 17.23% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 50.28% | 0-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.75% |
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