SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.03%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 29.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
40.03% ( -0.02) | 30.45% ( 0) | 29.51% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.04% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.86% ( -0.01) | 67.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.64% ( -0) | 85.36% ( 0.01) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.02) | 32.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( -0.02) | 69.51% ( 0.02) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( 0.01) | 40.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.07% ( 0.01) | 76.92% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.74% 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.45% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.36% Total : 29.51% |
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