SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.25%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (13.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Estudiantes |
35.25% ( -0.11) | 30.85% ( 0.1) | 33.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.94% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.32% ( -0.29) | 67.68% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.28% ( -0.2) | 85.72% ( 0.19) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( -0.23) | 36.32% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% ( -0.24) | 73.11% ( 0.23) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -0.16) | 37.27% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( -0.16) | 74.05% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 35.25% | 0-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.14) 1-1 @ 13.53% 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.84% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 33.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
