Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Platense had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
Result | ||
Boca Juniors | Draw | Platense |
58.84% ( -1.8) | 25.53% ( 0.52) | 15.63% ( 1.28) |
Both teams to score 37.59% ( 1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.49% ( 0.15) | 62.51% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.89% ( 0.11) | 82.11% ( -0.11) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.56% ( -0.66) | 21.44% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.55% ( -1.02) | 54.45% ( 1.03) |
Platense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.85% ( 1.96) | 52.15% ( -1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.9% ( 1.24) | 86.1% ( -1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Boca Juniors | Draw | Platense |
1-0 @ 17.21% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 58.82% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.33% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.34% Total : 15.63% |
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