Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Platense had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
-1.8) 
0.52) 
