SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 40.21%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.78%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Belgrano |
40.21% ( 0.03) | 30.77% ( -0.02) | 29.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.11% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.84% ( 0.05) | 68.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.96% ( 0.03) | 86.04% ( -0.04) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( 0.05) | 33.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( 0.05) | 69.98% ( -0.06) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.69% ( 0.02) | 41.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.17% ( 0.01) | 77.83% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 15.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.21% | 0-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 13.37% 2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.77% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 29.01% |
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