Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
