Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
