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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario
2 - 2
River Plate

Ruben (28', 58')
Ojeda (24'), Ruben (42'), Covea (77')
Ojeda (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Palavecino (68', 75')
Zuculini (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawRiver Plate
26.07%23.6%50.33%
Both teams to score 57.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75%66.24%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57%30.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36%66.63%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49%17.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98%48.02%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 26.07%
    River Plate 50.33%
    Draw 23.6%
Rosario CentralDrawRiver Plate
2-1 @ 6.57%
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.07%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-1 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 8.09%
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-3 @ 4.7%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.44%
0-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.33%

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