Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
