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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Dec 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona

Arsenal
1 - 1
Boca Juniors

Sepulveda (75')
Picco (10'), Miloc (67'), Albertengo (68'), Navas (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramirez (44')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawBoca Juniors
25.55%27.67%46.78%
Both teams to score 44.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.83%60.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63%80.37%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28%39.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.61%76.39%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21%25.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26%60.74%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 25.55%
    Boca Juniors 46.78%
    Draw 27.66%
Arsenal SarandiDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 5.92%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.34%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.55%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 13.88%
0-2 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-3 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 46.78%

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