Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
