Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.