SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Rosario Central |
36.96% ( -3.44) | 29.22% ( 0.34) | 33.82% ( 3.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.38% ( -0.62) | 62.62% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.81% ( -0.45) | 82.19% ( 0.45) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( -2.4) | 32.48% ( 2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( -2.79) | 69.01% ( 2.79) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( 1.91) | 34.56% ( -1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( 1.98) | 71.28% ( -1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.82)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.37)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.51)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.76)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.25% Total : 33.82% |
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