Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Colon had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
