SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Tigre |
38.17% ( -0.39) | 28.85% ( -0.1) | 32.98% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 45.06% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.51% ( 0.41) | 61.49% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% ( 0.31) | 81.36% ( -0.31) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( -0.03) | 31.14% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( -0.04) | 67.47% ( 0.03) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( 0.57) | 34.55% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.73% ( 0.6) | 71.27% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 32.97% |
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