SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Colon |
48.96% ( 0.72) | 28.51% ( -0.48) | 22.53% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 40.09% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.31% ( 1.24) | 64.7% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.32% ( 0.86) | 83.68% ( -0.85) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.95) | 26.81% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( 1.23) | 62.11% ( -1.23) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.78% ( 0.5) | 45.22% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.89% ( 0.39) | 81.11% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 15.96% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.72% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.56)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.53% |
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