SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | River Plate |
27.97% ( 0) | 25.8% ( 0) | 46.23% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( -0.01) | 51.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -0) | 73.65% ( 0) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% | 33.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( 0) | 69.8% ( -0) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( -0.01) | 22.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.04% ( -0.01) | 55.95% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.22% |
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