Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
