Estudiantes
3 - 2
Arsenal

Pellegrini (50'), Diaz (67'), Boselli (78')
Morel (45+4'), Pellegrini (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ibanez (53'), Lomonaco (70')
Miloc (18'), Brochero (36'), Lomonaco (70'), Goni (72'), Pitton (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
56.41%	24.99%	18.6%

Both teams to score 43.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.9%

57.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.02%

77.98%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78%

20.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.45%

52.55%

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.93%

45.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.01%

80.99%

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 56.41%

Arsenal Sarandi 18.6%

Draw 24.99%

Estudiantes	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 14.57% 2-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 4.94% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.35% Total : 56.41%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.57% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.6% Total : 18.6%