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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 2, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Único

Estudiantes
4 - 0
Arsenal

Godoy (61'), Noguera (72'), Castro (75'), Diaz (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Medina (60'), Castro (71'), Albertengo (74')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Estudiantes and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawArsenal Sarandi
41.78%28.06%30.17%
Both teams to score 46.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62%59.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24%79.76%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98%28.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33%63.67%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52%35.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76%72.24%
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 41.77%
    Arsenal Sarandi 30.17%
    Draw 28.05%
EstudiantesDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 41.77%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 30.17%

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