Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
